Middleton Wisconsin Real Estate Market Update - December 2025 Skip to market overview

Middleton Wisconsin Real Estate Market Update - December 2025

Updated
$520,000 median price • 25 days median days on market • 2.33 months of supply

Your December 2025 Middleton housing market update: Seller's market with 2.33 months of inventory and a $520,000 median price — what that means for you below.

The Middleton housing market in November 2025 saw the median sale price climb to $520,000 (up 11.8% from last year), with homes selling in 25 days and just 2.33 months of supply indicating continued seller's market conditions.

Key Takeaways - December 2025

  • Median home price: $520,000 (+11.8% year-over-year)
  • Homes sell fast: 25 days median time on market
  • Market status: Seller's market (2.33 months supply)
  • Limited inventory: Only 102 active listings available
  • Best for buyers: Buyers should expect limited inventory and competitive conditions in the $500k-$799k range where months of supply remains under 2.5, though the slight increase in days on market suggests marginally more time to make decisions than earlier in the year.
  • Best for sellers: Sellers are seeing strong price appreciation of nearly 12% year-over-year with homes selling in under a month, making this an excellent time to list before the slower winter months ahead.
  • Year-to-date: 538 sales with YTD median at $576,000 (+1.1% YoY)

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📊 Mortgage Rate Update

Current 30-year rates are sitting around ~6%, and top forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association suggest this same general range will continue through 2026, with only modest improvement.

Nationally, NAR expects 2026 to be a "comeback year," with existing-home sales rebounding roughly 14% and home prices rising about 4%, driven by job growth and slowly easing rates.

Middleton Wisconsin Housing Market Analysis – December 2025

This December 2025 report covers Middleton sales data through Dec 1, 2025 (mostly November closings).

Quick Market Facts

$520,000 Median Sale Price +11.8% YoY
$583,673 Average Sale Price +0.6% YoY
25 days Median Days on Market +9 days YoY
2.33 Months of Supply Seller's market
$255 Average $/SqFt +1.1% YoY
-0.91% Over/Under Ask -0.93 pts YoY
35 # of Sales -14.6% YoY
$20,428,570 Total Volume -14.1% YoY

Data source: South Central Wisconsin MLS . Data deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Hyper-Local Market Overview

Price-strong but volume-light: Middleton's late-2025 housing market stayed price-strong but volume-light, with the median sale price rising 11.8% to $520,000 even as closed sales declined 14.6% year-over-year. The average sale price reached $583,673, showing some upper-end/luxury closings in the mix.

Tight seller's market persists: With just 2.33 months of inventory and a 25 days median DOM, Middleton remains firmly in seller's market territory. This is well below the 4–6 month "balanced" range, continuing to favor sellers.

Year-to-date snapshot: From January through Dec 1, 2025, Middleton recorded 538 sales (+4.1% YoY) with YTD median at $576,000 (+1.1% YoY) and YTD average at $681,316 (+9.7% YoY). New listings delivered: 660 (+4.9% YoY). Active listings at snapshot: 102, with 27 pending.

Middleton Market Geography

Primary Coverage Area: Middleton, Wisconsin (53562)

Extended Service Area: Greater Middleton area including portions of Verona and Fitchburg served by the Middleton-Cross Plains Area School District

School Districts: Middleton-Cross Plains Area School District

City Info: Learn more about Middleton amenities

Current Market Conditions & Trends

  • Seller's market dominance: At 2.33 months of supply, sellers maintain strong negotiating power. Balanced markets typically have 4–6 months of inventory.
  • Strong price appreciation: Median price climbed 11.8% year-over-year to $520,000, showing continued demand in Middleton's competitive housing market.
  • Fewer transactions, higher values: Closed sales declined 14.6% and total dollar volume dropped 14.1%, showing that fewer buyers were successful even as values rose.
  • Price per square foot steady: At $255 (+1.1% YoY), per-square-foot values continue climbing despite inventory constraints.
  • Late-fall buyer leverage: Average sale-to-list at -0.91% means buyers, on average, Homes sold slightly under asking price at -0.91%, indicating modest negotiating room for buyers..
  • New listings up: 33 new listings in November (+6.5% YoY), with slightly more sellers came to market in November compared with last year.
  • YTD median DOM: Just 9 days (+2 days YoY) confirms the overall fast market speed across the year.

Middleton vs. Nearby Communities – Price Comparison

Middleton vs nearby communities — latest price and inventory snapshot
Community Median Price Months Supply Notes
Middleton (53562) $520,000 2.33 months Strong price growth
Madison $415,000 1.8 months Lower price point
Verona $485,000 2.1 months Growing market
Waunakee $475,000 2.0 months Family-focused
Sun Prairie $425,000 2.2 months More affordable

*Middleton data reflects Dec 1, 2025 snapshot from SCWMLS. Other community data from prior reports.

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Inventory & Market Activity

  • Active inventory: Just 102 homes available as of Dec 1, 2025 — extremely tight supply.
  • Pending sales: 27 contracts in process, with median days until pending at 13 days.
  • New listings November: 33 new listings (+6.5% YoY) — slightly more sellers came to market in November compared with last year.
  • New pendings November: 34 new accepted offers (+17.2% YoY), showing buyer demand strengthened with 17% more accepted offers than last November.
  • Year-to-date new listings: 660 total listings delivered (+4.9% YoY).
  • Year-to-date new pendings: 532 (+1.1% YoY), showing buyer activity remaining slightly ahead of last year's pace.
  • Supply by price range: The $500k-$799k range dominated November activity with 12 sales, while luxury homes above $1M showed only 2 transactions, reflecting typical late-fall seasonal patterns.

Big Picture: What's Driving Middleton's Market?

Middleton's market remains tight due to a perfect storm of factors: excellent schools in the Middleton-Cross Plains Area School District, west-side Madison access, strong retail and dining scene, established neighborhoods, and limited new construction. Even with 30-year mortgage rates hovering near the mid-6% range and expected to stay close to current levels into 2026, qualified buyers continue to compete for limited inventory.

Integrity Homes' view: With 2.33 months of supply and +11.8% price growth, Middleton is still a seller-leaning market, but late-fall conditions are giving motivated buyers a bit more negotiating room and time to act. Sellers who list now face minimal competition, while buyers need to be pre-approved, decisive, and ready to compete on well-priced homes—especially in the $500k–$699k range where supply is tightest.

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Market Forecast & Buyer/Seller Recommendations

Middleton Market Outlook

Expect continued seller's market conditions through late-fall and into 2026. With 2.33 months of supply and 25 days median DOM, properly priced homes will continue to sell quickly. Nationally, NAR expects 2026 to be a "comeback year," with existing-home sales rebounding roughly 14% and home prices rising about 4%, driven by job growth and slowly easing rates.

What Sellers Need to Know

  • Your window is now: With minimal competition (only 102 active listings) and +11.8% price growth, sellers who list in late-fall face fewer competing properties and strong demand.
  • Price it right from day one: Even in a seller's market, the first two weeks matter most. Overpricing leads to stale listings that take longer to sell.
  • Presentation drives premium: Professional photos, staging, and addressing visible maintenance issues can add thousands to your final sale price.
  • Neighborhood matters: Middleton is a community of distinct neighborhoods. Work with an agent who knows your micro-market's recent comparable sales.
  • Expect quick decisions: With 25 days median DOM, qualified buyers are ready to move. Be prepared for showings and offers quickly after listing.

What Buyers Need to Know

  • Pre-approval is mandatory: In a market with 2.33 months of supply, sellers won't entertain offers without strong financing proof. Explore available loan programs and assistance options to maximize your buying power.
  • Late-fall advantage: November buyers secured As of November 2025, the average sale closed at 0.91% below asking price, nearly identical to last year's -0.98%, showing pricing remains closely aligned with market expectations and buyers have limited negotiating leverage in most price ranges..
  • Focus on the $500k–$699k range carefully: This is the most competitive segment with limited supply. Have your inspection contingency strategy ready.
  • Expand your neighborhood search: Middleton has diverse neighborhoods at various price points. Look beyond your first choice to find hidden gems.
  • Work with a local expert: Middleton's market is hyper-local. An agent who knows neighborhood nuances can identify opportunities before they hit the market.
  • Veterans and military families: Take advantage of VA loan benefits with $0 down payment. Review our complete VA loan guide for Wisconsin-specific information.

Finding Your Perfect Middleton Home

Working with Middleton Real Estate Agents

Choosing the right real estate agent is crucial in Middleton's competitive market. Look for agents who specialize in your target neighborhoods, have strong MLS access, and understand local market conditions. At Integrity Homes Wisconsin, we provide:

  • Real-time MLS alerts for new listings matching your criteria
  • Exclusive access to off-market properties and coming-soon listings
  • Expert neighborhood knowledge and comparative market analysis
  • Negotiation expertise in multiple-offer situations
  • Special programs for veterans, first responders, teachers, and healthcare workers through Reward Our Heroes

Popular Home Features Middleton Buyers Search For

Open Floor Plans: Middleton buyers highly value open-concept layouts that connect kitchen, dining, and living spaces—ideal for entertaining and family life in this community-focused suburb.

Updated Kitchens: Homes with modern kitchens featuring quartz countertops, stainless appliances, and large islands command premium prices, especially in the competitive $500k-$700k range where inventory is tightest.

Finished Basements: With Middleton's excellent schools and family-oriented neighborhoods, finished lower levels providing additional recreation space, home offices, or guest suites are increasingly sought after.

Walkability & Location: Properties within walking distance to downtown Middleton's shops, restaurants, and the Capital City Trail see strong demand, as do homes in established neighborhoods with mature trees and close proximity to top-rated schools.

Best Online Platforms to Search Middleton Homes

While Zillow and Realtor.com provide basic listings, the most accurate and up-to-date Middleton home information comes from direct MLS access through local real estate professionals. Integrity Homes Wisconsin provides:

  • Same-day MLS updates with no delay
  • Accurate pricing and status
  • Complete property history and detailed disclosures
  • Neighborhood statistics and school boundary maps
  • Ability to schedule showings directly through the platform

Frequently Asked Questions

For Home Buyers in Middleton, WI

Is Middleton, Wisconsin still a seller's market in late-fall 2025?
Yes, Middleton remains a seller's market as of December 1, 2025, with only 2.33 months of supply—well below the 6 months that would indicate a balanced market.
Related: Middleton homes for sale, buy a home in Middleton, Middleton housing market 2025
How much are home prices increasing in Middleton, WI right now?
The median home price in Middleton increased 11.8% to $520,000 in November 2025 compared to last year, reflecting strong demand and limited inventory in this desirable west Madison suburb.
Related: Middleton home prices, median home price Middleton WI, Middleton property values
How long does it take to sell a house in Middleton, WI in late-fall 2025?
Homes in Middleton sold in a median of 25 days in November 2025, which is 9 days longer than last year but still indicates a relatively fast-moving market driven by the area's excellent schools and amenities.
Related: Middleton days on market, how long to sell a home in Middleton, Middleton real estate trends
Are Middleton homes still selling over asking price, or can buyers negotiate?
Homes sold at an average of 0.91% below asking price in November 2025, essentially unchanged from last year, indicating sellers are pricing realistically and buyers have modest negotiating room.
Related: Middleton negotiation, Middleton home offers, Middleton listing price
Which price range is most competitive in the Middleton Wisconsin housing market?
The $500k-$699k range is most competitive in Middleton, with only 2.5-4.3 months of supply and homes selling quickly, particularly those in top condition near the Middleton-Cross Plains school district.
Related: Middleton affordable homes, Middleton home prices by range, Middleton first-time buyer
What does low inventory mean for first-time buyers in Middleton?
First-time buyers face challenges in Middleton with only 2.33 months of supply and an entry price around $465,000, though the slight uptick in inventory and days on market compared to summer months provides marginally more opportunity to find the right home.
Related: Middleton first-time homebuyer, Middleton homes, Middleton under $465,000

For Home Sellers in Middleton, WI

Is this a good time to list my Middleton home, or should I wait until spring 2026?
Yes, late fall is still a good time to list in Middleton, as November saw strong price appreciation of 11.8% year-over-year and buyer demand increased 17% with new accepted offers, though sellers should act soon before the slower winter season.
Related: sell my house Middleton, best time to sell Middleton, Middleton listing season
What should sellers do to prepare their Middleton home for sale?
Focus on presentation and pricing. Invest in professional photography, declutter thoroughly, deep clean, address deferred maintenance, enhance curb appeal, and price competitively based on recent comparable sales in your specific Middleton neighborhood. Even in a seller's market, first impressions matter. Review our complete listing photo preparation guide to ensure your home photographs beautifully.
Related: prepare home for sale Middleton, staging tips Middleton real estate, Middleton home selling checklist

Methodology & Update Log

  • Metrics reflect SCWMLS data captured on/around Dec 1, 2025; late entries may revise prior month counts.
  • Medians/averages exclude clear outliers; $/SqFt uses finished above-grade square footage.
  • Year-to-date figures represent January 1 – Dec 1, 2025.
  • Months of supply calculated as active listings divided by 12-month average monthly sales.
  • Updated: — initial publish.

About the Author

John Reuter, Broker/Owner at Integrity Homes of Wisconsin. Retired Air Force veteran and licensed real estate professional serving Madison and Dane County. Specializing in helping Wisconsin heroes through the Reward Our Heroes program.

Full bio · 608-669-4226 · [email protected]

Questions about how this impacts your price band or neighborhood?

Call/text 608-669-4226 or email [email protected]

Reward Our Heroes™ Foundation provides scholarships, savings, and support for local military service members, veterans, first responders, healthcare workers, and teachers across Wisconsin. Learn more at RewardOurHeroes.com.

Data from South Central Wisconsin MLS (SCWMLS.com), snapshot dated , and verified by John Reuter.

Serving Middleton, Dane County, and surrounding Wisconsin communities with expert real estate guidance.