Integrity Homes • Market Update
Waunakee, Wisconsin Real Estate Market Update
January 2026
Your January 2026 Waunakee housing market update: Extreme seller's market with 1.90 months of inventory and a $599,000 full-year median price — what that means for you below.
📌 Key Takeaways — January 2026
- Full-Year Median Price: $599,000 (+2.4% year-over-year)
- Rolling 60-Day Median: $570,000 (stable market value)
- Homes sell in: 26 days median time on market (+7 days YoY)
- Market status: Extreme seller's market (1.90 months supply)
- December surge: 30 sales (+66.7% YoY) — buyers didn't hibernate
- Hot zone for sellers: Only 3 active listings in $500k–$599k range
- 2025 Recap: 346 total sales, $235.5M volume (+0.6% sales YoY)
📺 January 2026 Market Video Update
Video coming soon — subscribe to get notified!
📊 Mortgage Rate Update
Current 30-year rates are sitting around ~6%, and forecasts for 2026 suggest a "Great Housing Reset" with inventory slowly rebuilding. Waunakee's premium market continues to attract buyers seeking top-tier schools and community.
Nationally, experts project a 10% increase in supply this year, which could bring more balance to extreme seller's markets like Waunakee.
Quick Market Facts (Dec Closings)
*December median dip reflects sales mix, not market decline. Full-year median: $599,000 (+2.4%). Data source: South Central Wisconsin MLS.
Hyper-Local Market Overview
Extreme Seller's Market: Waunakee enters 2026 with 1.90 months of inventory — more breathing room than Madison's 0.77 months, but still firmly favoring sellers in most price brackets.
December Surge: Sales jumped 66.7% year-over-year with 30 closings. Buyers didn't hibernate — they were waiting for listings. This signals strong pent-up demand heading into 2026.
Year-End Strength: The full 2025 year finished with 346 sales and a median price of $599,000, marking a 2.4% appreciation. Waunakee's premium positioning remains intact.
🔥 Supply by Price Range — The "Hot Zones"
Where's the opportunity? The $500k–$599k bracket has just 3 active listings and 0.77 months of supply — sellers listing here face almost zero competition.
| Price Range | Months Supply | Active Listings | Market Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| $200,000 – $399,999 | 0.80 mo | 4 | Extreme Seller's |
| $400,000 – $499,999 | 2.40 mo | 14 | Extreme Seller's |
| $500,000 – $599,999 🔥 | 0.77 mo | 3 | Most Competitive |
| $600,000 – $699,999 | 2.40 mo | 8 | Extreme Seller's |
| $700,000 – $799,999 | 3.00 mo | 7 | Seller's |
| $800,000 – $899,999 | 1.33 mo | 4 | Extreme Seller's |
| $1,000,000+ | 3.67 mo | 11 | Seller's |
Current Market Conditions & Trends
- Extreme seller's market: At 1.90 months of supply, sellers maintain negotiating power. Balanced markets typically have 4–6 months of inventory.
- More breathing room than Madison: Waunakee's 1.90 mo supply offers 2.5× more inventory than Madison's 0.77 mo — buyers have slightly more options here.
- The "Hole" in the market: Only 3 homes available in $500k–$599k. Sellers in this bracket have almost zero competition.
- Active Listings: 51 homes available in the Jan 1 snapshot.
- Sales velocity: December's +66.7% YoY jump shows demand didn't slow for winter.
Dane County Area Market Snapshot (Jan 2026)
| Community | Median Price | Months Supply | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waunakee | $599,000 | 1.90 mo | Extreme seller's market with premium pricing |
| Madison | $412,000 | 0.77 mo | Extreme seller's market |
| Sun Prairie | $462,000 | 1.43 mo | Extreme seller's market |
| Middleton | $485,000 | 1.3 mo | Strong seller's market |
| Verona | $544,900 | 1.6 mo | Seller's market with higher-end pricing |
*Data reflects Jan 1, 2026 snapshot from SCWMLS.
🎯 Big Picture: The 2026 Strategy
Waunakee's market is a precision market. Homes priced correctly and presented well continue to sell quickly, while overpriced listings face longer timelines. The December sales surge (+66.7%) proves demand is strong — buyers are ready when the right homes appear.
Integrity Homes' view: With 1.90 months of supply and a massive gap in the $500k–$599k bracket (only 3 listings), sellers in that range have a golden opportunity. Buyers should act decisively on well-priced homes before spring competition heats up.
Market Forecast & Recommendations
Waunakee Market Outlook
Expect continued extreme seller's market conditions through Q1 2026. With 1.90 months of supply and strong demand signals from December, properly priced homes will move. Watch for increased buyer activity as spring approaches.
What Sellers Need to Know
- The $500k–$599k sweet spot: With only 3 active listings in this range, you have virtually no competition.
- Pricing discipline wins: Waunakee buyers are sophisticated. Overpriced listings sit while correctly priced homes sell in under a month.
- Presentation matters: Professional photos and staging can add thousands to your final price in this premium market.
What Buyers Need to Know
- More options than Madison: Waunakee's 1.90 mo supply offers 2.5× more inventory than Madison's 0.77 mo.
- Be decisive: December's 66.7% sales surge shows you're competing with motivated buyers.
- Veterans: Use your VA loan benefits with $0 down. Review our VA guide.
Frequently Asked Questions
For Home Buyers
For Home Sellers
Methodology & Data Notes
- Metrics reflect SCWMLS data captured on/around Jan 1, 2026; late entries may revise prior month counts.
- December median ($455,000) reflects sales mix variation; use full-year ($599,000) or rolling 60-day ($570,000) for stable market value.
- Medians/averages exclude clear outliers; $/SqFt uses finished above-grade square footage.
- Year-to-date figures represent the full 2025 calendar year.
- Months of supply calculated as active listings divided by 12-month average monthly sales.
- Updated: .